◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Premier League · 2026-27
CP v LIV
Crystal Palace›
vs
Sun, Nov 8 · 02:00 PM UTC
Liverpool›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Premier League.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
30%
25%
45%
CPDrawLIV
expected goals
1.38–1.72
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CP ↓LIV →
012340
5
8
7
4
2
1
6
11
9
5
2
2
4
7
6
4
2
3
2
3
3
2
1
4
1
1
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CP
ATT XG-0.08
DEF XGA+0.10
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
LIV
ATT XG+0.78
DEF XGA+0.98
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Premier League · 2026-27
CP v LIV
Crystal Palace›
vs
Sun, Nov 8 · 02:00 PM UTC
Liverpool›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Premier League.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
30%
25%
45%
CPDrawLIV
expected goals
1.38–1.72
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CP ↓LIV →
012340
5
8
7
4
2
1
6
11
9
5
2
2
4
7
6
4
2
3
2
3
3
2
1
4
1
1
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CP
ATT XG-0.08
DEF XGA+0.10
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
LIV
ATT XG+0.78
DEF XGA+0.98
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG