◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Premier League · 2026-27
B&H v BRE
Brighton & Hove Albion›
vs
Sun, Nov 8 · 02:00 PM UTC
Brentford›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Premier League.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
51%
24%
25%
B&HDrawBRE
expected goals
1.86–1.27
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
B&H ↓BRE →
012340
4
6
4
1
0
1
8
10
7
3
1
2
8
10
6
3
1
3
5
6
4
2
1
4
2
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
B&H
ATT XG+0.54
DEF XGA+0.81
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
BRE
ATT XG+0.19
DEF XGA+0.39
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Premier League · 2026-27
B&H v BRE
Brighton & Hove Albion›
vs
Sun, Nov 8 · 02:00 PM UTC
Brentford›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Premier League.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
51%
24%
25%
B&HDrawBRE
expected goals
1.86–1.27
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
B&H ↓BRE →
012340
4
6
4
1
0
1
8
10
7
3
1
2
8
10
6
3
1
3
5
6
4
2
1
4
2
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
B&H
ATT XG+0.54
DEF XGA+0.81
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
BRE
ATT XG+0.19
DEF XGA+0.39
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG