◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Premier League · 2026-27
LIV v B&H
Liverpool›
vs
Sun, Oct 25 · 02:00 PM UTC
Brighton & Hove Albion›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Premier League.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
47%
25%
28%
LIVDrawB&H
expected goals
1.75–1.33
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LIV ↓B&H →
012340
5
6
4
2
1
1
8
11
7
3
1
2
7
9
6
3
1
3
4
5
4
2
1
4
2
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LIV
ATT XG+0.78
DEF XGA+0.98
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
B&H
ATT XG+0.53
DEF XGA+0.90
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Premier League · 2026-27
LIV v B&H
Liverpool›
vs
Sun, Oct 25 · 02:00 PM UTC
Brighton & Hove Albion›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Premier League.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
47%
25%
28%
LIVDrawB&H
expected goals
1.75–1.33
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LIV ↓B&H →
012340
5
6
4
2
1
1
8
11
7
3
1
2
7
9
6
3
1
3
4
5
4
2
1
4
2
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LIV
ATT XG+0.78
DEF XGA+0.98
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
B&H
ATT XG+0.53
DEF XGA+0.90
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG