◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Premier League · 2026-27
CHE v TH
Chelsea›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 04:30 PM UTC
Tottenham Hotspur›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Premier League.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
51%
23%
26%
CHEDrawTH
expected goals
2.02–1.40
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CHE ↓TH →
012340
3
5
3
1
1
1
7
9
6
3
1
2
7
9
7
3
1
3
4
6
4
2
1
4
2
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CHE
ATT XG+0.86
DEF XGA+0.27
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
TH
ATT XG+0.09
DEF XGA+0.36
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Premier League · 2026-27
CHE v TH
Chelsea›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 04:30 PM UTC
Tottenham Hotspur›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Premier League.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
51%
23%
26%
CHEDrawTH
expected goals
2.02–1.40
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CHE ↓TH →
012340
3
5
3
1
1
1
7
9
6
3
1
2
7
9
7
3
1
3
4
6
4
2
1
4
2
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CHE
ATT XG+0.86
DEF XGA+0.27
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
TH
ATT XG+0.09
DEF XGA+0.36
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG