MLS · 2026
What happened
New York City FC 1–1 LAFC.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
NYCDrawLAF
expected goals
1.21–1.17
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 29% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
NYC ↓LAF →
012340
9
11
6
2
1
111
13
8
3
1
27
8
5
2
1
33
3
2
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
NYC
ATT XG-0.44
DEF XGA+0.71
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
LAF
ATT XG-0.20
DEF XGA+1.33
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG