◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
MLS · 2026
AUF v CFF
Atlanta United FC›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 11:30 PM UTC
Chicago Fire FC›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the MLS.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand MLS →
Model view
33%
26%
41%
AUFDrawCFF
expected goals
1.34–1.50
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AUF ↓CFF →
012340
6
9
7
3
1
1
8
12
9
4
2
2
5
8
6
3
1
3
2
4
3
1
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AUF
ATT XG-0.77
DEF XGA-0.10
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
CFF
ATT XG+0.08
DEF XGA+0.38
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
MLS · 2026
AUF v CFF
Atlanta United FC›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 11:30 PM UTC
Chicago Fire FC›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the MLS.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand MLS →
Model view
33%
26%
41%
AUFDrawCFF
expected goals
1.34–1.50
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AUF ↓CFF →
012340
6
9
7
3
1
1
8
12
9
4
2
2
5
8
6
3
1
3
2
4
3
1
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AUF
ATT XG-0.77
DEF XGA-0.10
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
CFF
ATT XG+0.08
DEF XGA+0.38
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG