MLS · 2026
What happened
Seattle Sounders FC 1–1 CF Montréal.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
SSFDrawCM
expected goals
1.84–0.88
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 24% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SSF ↓CM →
012340
7
6
3
1
0
112
11
5
1
0
211
10
4
1
0
37
6
3
1
0
43
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SSF
ATT XG-0.57
DEF XGA+0.69
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
CM
ATT XG-0.96
DEF XGA-0.72
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG