MLS · 2026
What happened
San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Nashville SC.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
SJEDrawNS
expected goals
1.14–1.58
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 26% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SJE ↓NS →
012340
7
10
8
4
2
18
12
9
5
2
24
7
5
3
1
32
3
2
1
0
40
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SJE
ATT XG+0.16
DEF XGA+0.45
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
NS
ATT XG+0.67
DEF XGA+2.10
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG