MLS · 2026
What happened
Portland Timbers 0–0 Colorado Rapids.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
PTDrawCR
expected goals
1.81–1.43
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 24% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
PT ↓CR →
012340
4
6
4
2
1
17
10
7
3
1
26
9
7
3
1
34
6
4
2
1
42
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
PT
ATT XG+0.10
DEF XGA-0.65
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
CR
ATT XG-0.64
DEF XGA+0.66
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG