MLS · 2026
What happened
Real Salt Lake 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
RSLDrawSJE
expected goals
1.56–1.56
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 25% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
RSL ↓SJE →
012340
4
7
5
3
1
17
11
8
4
2
25
8
7
3
1
33
4
3
2
1
41
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
RSL
ATT XG-0.34
DEF XGA+0.02
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
SJE
ATT XG+0.16
DEF XGA+0.45
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG