MLS · 2026
What happened
Colorado Rapids 2–2 Minnesota United FC.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
CRDrawMUF
expected goals
1.77–1.23
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 25% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CR ↓MUF →
012340
5
6
4
2
0
19
11
7
3
1
28
10
6
2
1
35
6
3
1
0
42
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CR
ATT XG-0.64
DEF XGA+0.66
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
MUF
ATT XG+0.12
DEF XGA-0.67
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG