MLS · 2026
What happened
Columbus Crew 3–1 Charlotte FC.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
CCDrawCF
expected goals
1.53–1.55
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 37% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CC ↓CF →
012340
5
7
6
3
1
17
11
8
4
2
25
8
6
3
1
33
4
3
2
1
41
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CC
ATT XG-0.13
DEF XGA+0.15
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
CF
ATT XG+0.24
DEF XGA+0.43
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG