MLS · 2026
What happened
CF Montréal 0–3 Atlanta United FC.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
CMDrawAUF
expected goals
1.45–1.20
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 31% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CM ↓AUF →
012340
7
8
5
2
1
110
12
7
3
1
27
9
5
2
1
34
4
3
1
0
41
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CM
ATT XG-0.96
DEF XGA-0.72
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
AUF
ATT XG-0.77
DEF XGA-0.10
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG