MLS · 2026
What happened
LAFC 1–1 Vancouver Whitecaps.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
LAFDrawVW
expected goals
1.31–1.28
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 28% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LAF ↓VW →
012340
8
10
6
3
1
110
13
8
3
1
26
8
5
2
1
33
4
2
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LAF
ATT XG-0.20
DEF XGA+1.33
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
VW
ATT XG+0.59
DEF XGA+1.37
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG