MLS · 2026
What happened
Colorado Rapids 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
CRDrawSJE
expected goals
1.53–1.41
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 26% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CR ↓SJE →
012340
5
7
5
2
1
18
11
8
4
1
26
9
6
3
1
33
4
3
1
1
41
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CR
ATT XG-0.64
DEF XGA+0.66
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
SJE
ATT XG+0.16
DEF XGA+0.45
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG