MLS · 2026
What happened
Sporting Kansas City 3–3 Portland Timbers.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
SKCDrawPT
expected goals
1.81–2.17
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 21% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SKC ↓PT →
012340
2
4
4
3
2
13
7
8
6
3
23
7
7
5
3
32
4
4
3
2
41
2
2
1
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SKC
ATT XG-0.61
DEF XGA-2.19
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
PT
ATT XG+0.10
DEF XGA-0.65
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG