MLS · 2026
What happened
New England Revolution 0–3 Seattle Sounders FC.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
NERDrawSSF
expected goals
1.65–1.03
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 23% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
NER ↓SSF →
012340
7
7
4
1
0
111
12
6
2
1
29
10
5
2
0
35
5
3
1
0
42
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
NER
ATT XG-0.13
DEF XGA+0.58
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
SSF
ATT XG-0.57
DEF XGA+0.69
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG