MLS · 2026
What happened
Chicago Fire FC 3–1 Vancouver Whitecaps.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
CFFDrawVW
expected goals
1.36–1.66
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 31% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CFF ↓VW →
012340
5
8
7
4
2
17
11
9
5
2
25
7
6
3
1
32
3
3
2
1
41
1
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CFF
ATT XG+0.08
DEF XGA+0.38
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
VW
ATT XG+0.59
DEF XGA+1.37
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG