MLS · 2026
What happened
Seattle Sounders FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
SSFDrawSKC
expected goals
2.13–1.08
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Model favorite landed — priced 61% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SSF ↓SKC →
012340
4
4
2
1
0
19
9
5
2
0
29
10
5
2
1
36
7
4
1
0
43
4
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SSF
ATT XG-0.57
DEF XGA+0.69
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
SKC
ATT XG-0.61
DEF XGA-2.19
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG