MLS · 2026
What happened
Columbus Crew 2–1 Inter Miami CF.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
CCDrawIMC
expected goals
1.97–1.99
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 39% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CC ↓IMC →
012340
2
4
4
3
1
14
7
7
5
2
24
7
7
5
2
32
5
5
3
2
41
2
2
2
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CC
ATT XG-0.13
DEF XGA+0.15
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
IMC
ATT XG+1.34
DEF XGA-0.19
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG