MLS · 2026
What happened
Vancouver Whitecaps 3–3 D.C. United.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
VWDrawDU
expected goals
2.31–0.79
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 18% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
VW ↓DU →
012340
5
4
1
0
0
110
8
3
1
0
212
9
4
1
0
39
7
3
1
0
45
4
2
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
VW
ATT XG+0.59
DEF XGA+1.37
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
DU
ATT XG-0.41
DEF XGA-0.38
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG