MLS · 2026
What happened
Real Salt Lake 3–0 New England Revolution.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
RSLDrawNER
expected goals
1.36–1.58
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 32% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
RSL ↓NER →
012340
5
8
7
3
1
17
11
9
5
2
25
8
6
3
1
32
4
3
1
1
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
RSL
ATT XG-0.34
DEF XGA+0.02
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
NER
ATT XG-0.13
DEF XGA+0.58
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG