MLS · 2026
What happened
Houston Dynamo FC 0–2 Sporting Kansas City.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
HDFDrawSKC
expected goals
2.34–0.86
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 12% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
HDF ↓SKC →
012340
4
4
2
0
0
110
8
4
1
0
211
10
4
1
0
39
7
3
1
0
45
4
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
HDF
ATT XG-0.38
DEF XGA+0.83
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
SKC
ATT XG-0.61
DEF XGA-2.19
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG