MLS · 2026
What happened
Charlotte FC 0–1 Chicago Fire FC.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
CFDrawCFF
expected goals
1.93–1.31
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 26% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CF ↓CFF →
012340
4
5
3
1
0
18
10
6
3
1
27
10
6
3
1
35
6
4
2
1
42
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CF
ATT XG+0.24
DEF XGA+0.43
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
CFF
ATT XG+0.08
DEF XGA+0.38
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG