Premier League · 2026-27
What happened
Leeds United 0–0 Crystal Palace.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
LUDrawCP
expected goals
1.65–1.17
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 26% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LU ↓CP →
012340
6
7
4
2
0
110
12
7
3
1
28
9
6
2
1
34
5
3
1
0
42
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LU
ATT XG-0.12
DEF XGA+1.00
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
CP
ATT XG-0.08
DEF XGA+0.10
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG