What happened
United States 3–0 Mexico.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 17% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
US ↓MEX →
0123409
14
12
7
3
17
11
9
5
2
23
4
4
2
1
31
1
1
1
0
40
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals