Int. Friendlies · 2026
What happened
Ivory Coast 0–1 Cameroon.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
ICDrawCAM
expected goals
1.47–0.67
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 16% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
IC ↓CAM →
012340
12
8
3
1
0
117
12
4
1
0
213
9
3
1
0
36
4
1
0
0
42
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
IC
ATT XG+0.03
DEF XGA+1.55
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
CAM
ATT XG-0.40
DEF XGA+2.24
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG