Int. Friendlies · 2026
What happened
Sri Lanka 0–0 Djibouti.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
SLDrawDJI
expected goals
2.13–0.50
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 18% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SL ↓DJI →
012340
7
4
1
0
0
115
8
2
0
0
216
8
2
0
0
312
6
1
0
0
46
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SL
ATT XG-1.36
DEF XGA+3.25
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
DJI
ATT XG-2.32
DEF XGA+3.25
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG