Int. Friendlies · 2026
What happened
South Korea 0–0 Venezuela.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
SKDrawVEN
expected goals
1.27–1.49
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 27% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SK ↓VEN →
012340
6
9
7
3
1
18
12
9
4
2
25
8
6
3
1
32
3
2
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SK
ATT XG-1.74
DEF XGA+0.59
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
VEN
ATT XG-1.90
DEF XGA+1.90
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG