Int. Friendlies · 2026
What happened
Uzbekistan 4–1 Syria.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
UZBDrawSYR
expected goals
0.99–1.63
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 22% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
UZB ↓SYR →
012340
7
12
10
5
2
17
12
10
5
2
24
6
5
3
1
31
2
2
1
0
40
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
UZB
ATT XG-0.98
DEF XGA-3.76
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
SYR
ATT XG-1.21
DEF XGA-4.07
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG