Int. Friendlies · 2026
What happened
Papua New Guinea 1–1 Solomon Islands.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
PNGDrawSI
expected goals
1.30–3.11
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 15% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
PNG ↓SI →
012340
1
4
6
6
5
12
5
8
8
6
21
3
5
5
4
30
1
2
2
2
40
0
1
1
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
PNG
ATT XG-1.34
DEF XGA-0.05
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
SI
ATT XG+1.96
DEF XGA-0.77
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG