Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
Banfield 1–1 Rosario Central.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
BANDrawRC
expected goals
1.20–1.35
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 28% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BAN ↓RC →
012340
8
11
7
3
1
19
13
9
4
1
26
8
5
2
1
32
3
2
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BAN
ATT XG-0.46
DEF XGA-0.03
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
RC
ATT XG+0.04
DEF XGA+1.16
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG