Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
Vélez Sarsfield 2–2 Platense.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
VSDrawPLA
expected goals
1.85–0.74
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 23% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
VS ↓PLA →
012340
8
6
2
1
0
114
10
4
1
0
213
9
4
1
0
38
6
2
1
0
44
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
VS
ATT XG-0.16
DEF XGA+1.28
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
PLA
ATT XG-0.84
DEF XGA-0.04
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG