Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero).
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
DRDrawCC(
expected goals
0.97–0.63
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 36% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
DR ↓CC( →
012340
20
13
4
1
0
120
12
4
1
0
29
6
2
0
0
33
2
1
0
0
41
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
DR
ATT XG-1.69
DEF XGA+1.23
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
CC(
ATT XG-1.17
DEF XGA-0.18
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG