Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
Newell's Old Boys 0–0 Lanús.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
NOBDrawLAN
expected goals
1.08–1.25
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 30% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
NOB ↓LAN →
012340
10
12
8
3
1
111
13
8
3
1
26
7
4
2
1
32
3
2
1
0
41
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
NOB
ATT XG-0.82
DEF XGA+0.54
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
LAN
ATT XG-0.28
DEF XGA+1.68
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG