Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
Independiente Rivadavia 1–1 Gimnasia La Plata.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
IRDrawGLP
expected goals
2.11–1.34
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 22% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
IR ↓GLP →
012340
3
4
3
1
0
17
9
6
3
1
27
9
6
3
1
35
7
4
2
1
43
4
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
IR
ATT XG+0.27
DEF XGA+0.03
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
GLP
ATT XG+0.01
DEF XGA+0.18
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG