Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
Barracas Central 0–1 Independiente Rivadavia.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
BCDrawIR
expected goals
1.17–1.23
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Model favorite landed — priced 37% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
BC ↓IR →
012340
9
11
7
3
1
111
13
8
3
1
26
8
5
2
1
32
3
2
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
BC
ATT XG-0.90
DEF XGA+1.32
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
IR
ATT XG+0.24
DEF XGA+0.02
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG