Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
Belgrano (Córdoba) 2–1 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
B(DrawEDR
expected goals
1.68–0.40
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Model favorite landed — priced 69% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
B( ↓EDR →
012340
12
5
1
0
0
121
8
2
0
0
218
7
1
0
0
310
4
1
0
0
44
2
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
B(
ATT XG-0.43
DEF XGA+1.66
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
EDR
ATT XG-1.78
DEF XGA-0.18
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG