Argentine Primera División · 2026
What happened
Platense 0–1 Newell's Old Boys.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
PLADrawNOB
expected goals
1.38–1.20
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 32% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
PLA ↓NOB →
012340
8
9
5
2
1
110
13
8
3
1
27
9
5
2
1
33
4
2
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
PLA
ATT XG-0.84
DEF XGA-0.04
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
NOB
ATT XG-0.82
DEF XGA+0.54
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG