Saudi Pro League · 2026-27
What happened
Al Ettifaq 1–1 Al Khaleej.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
AEDrawAK
expected goals
1.68–1.06
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 26% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AE ↓AK →
012340
6
7
4
1
0
111
11
6
2
1
29
10
5
2
0
35
5
3
1
0
42
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AE
ATT XG-0.17
DEF XGA-0.14
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
AK
ATT XG-0.79
DEF XGA-0.35
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG