Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
Atlético Junior 2–2 Internacional de Bogotá.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
AJDrawIDB
expected goals
2.21–1.24
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 21% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
AJ ↓IDB →
012340
3
4
2
1
0
17
9
5
2
1
28
10
6
2
1
36
7
4
2
1
43
4
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
AJ
ATT XG-0.06
DEF XGA+0.19
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
IDB
ATT XG-0.27
DEF XGA-0.24
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG