Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
Deportivo Pasto 0–0 Fortaleza CEIF.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
DPDrawFC
expected goals
1.82–1.33
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 24% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
DP ↓FC →
012340
4
6
4
2
1
18
10
7
3
1
27
9
6
3
1
34
6
4
2
1
42
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
DP
ATT XG-0.75
DEF XGA-0.23
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
FC
ATT XG-0.59
DEF XGA-0.05
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG