Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
Deportes Tolima 0–0 Boyacá Chicó FC.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
DTDrawBCF
expected goals
2.02–0.73
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 21% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
DT ↓BCF →
012340
6
5
2
0
0
113
9
3
1
0
213
10
3
1
0
39
6
2
1
0
44
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
DT
ATT XG-0.49
DEF XGA+0.93
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
BCF
ATT XG-1.36
DEF XGA-0.41
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG