Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
Internacional de Bogotá 1–1 Once Caldas.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
IDBDrawOC
expected goals
1.75–1.48
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 24% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
IDB ↓OC →
012340
4
6
4
2
1
17
10
8
4
1
26
9
7
3
1
34
5
4
2
1
42
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
IDB
ATT XG-0.27
DEF XGA-0.24
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
OC
ATT XG-0.04
DEF XGA+0.61
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG