Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
Jaguares de Córdoba 1–2 Alianza FC.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
JDCDrawAF
expected goals
1.87–1.08
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 21% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
JDC ↓AF →
012340
5
6
3
1
0
110
11
6
2
1
29
10
5
2
1
36
6
3
1
0
43
3
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
JDC
ATT XG-0.58
DEF XGA-1.39
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
AF
ATT XG-1.08
DEF XGA-0.56
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG