Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
Cúcuta Deportivo 2–1 Llaneros FC.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
CDDrawLF
expected goals
1.35–1.36
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 36% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
CD ↓LF →
012340
7
9
6
3
1
19
12
8
4
1
26
8
6
3
1
33
4
3
1
0
41
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
CD
ATT XG-0.51
DEF XGA-0.51
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
LF
ATT XG-0.83
DEF XGA+0.75
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG