Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
Once Caldas 1–3 Atlético Bucaramanga.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
OCDrawAB
expected goals
1.59–1.20
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 28% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
OC ↓AB →
012340
6
7
4
2
1
110
12
7
3
1
28
9
6
2
1
34
5
3
1
0
42
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
OC
ATT XG-0.04
DEF XGA+0.61
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
AB
ATT XG+0.02
DEF XGA+1.09
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG