Categoría Primera A · Clausura · 2026
What happened
Independiente Santa Fe 0–1 Deportivo Cali.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
ISFDrawDC
expected goals
1.48–1.05
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 26% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
ISF ↓DC →
012340
8
8
4
2
0
112
12
6
2
1
29
9
5
2
0
34
5
2
1
0
42
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
ISF
ATT XG+0.08
DEF XGA+0.89
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
DC
ATT XG-0.51
DEF XGA+1.91
FORM+1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG