Bundesliga · 2026-27
What happened
Schalke 04 0–0 SV Elversberg.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
S0DrawSE
expected goals
1.63–1.87
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 23% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
S0 ↓SE →
012340
3
6
5
3
2
15
9
9
5
3
24
8
7
4
2
32
4
4
2
1
41
2
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
S0
ATT XG-1.57
DEF XGA+1.29
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
SE
ATT XG+0.56
DEF XGA-0.37
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG