◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Int. Friendlies · 2026
PER v BOL
Recognise Peru’s players →Recognise Bolivia’s players →
Peru›
vs
Fri, Nov 13 · Time to be confirmed
Bolivia›
Match context
Int. Friendlies

Start with the competition and phase, then use form and the model to understand how the teams arrived here.

Model view
62%
26%
12%
PERDrawBOL
expected goals
1.61–0.56
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
PER ↓BOL →
012340
11
6
2
0
0
1
18
10
3
1
0
2
15
8
2
0
0
3
8
4
1
0
0
4
3
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
PER
ATT XG-1.03
DEF XGA-0.59
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
BOL
ATT XG-2.32
DEF XGA-1.34
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Int. Friendlies · 2026
PER v BOL
Recognise Peru’s players →Recognise Bolivia’s players →
Peru›
vs
Fri, Nov 13 · Time to be confirmed
Bolivia›
Match context
Int. Friendlies

Start with the competition and phase, then use form and the model to understand how the teams arrived here.

Model view
62%
26%
12%
PERDrawBOL
expected goals
1.61–0.56
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
PER ↓BOL →
012340
11
6
2
0
0
1
18
10
3
1
0
2
15
8
2
0
0
3
8
4
1
0
0
4
3
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
PER
ATT XG-1.03
DEF XGA-0.59
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
BOL
ATT XG-2.32
DEF XGA-1.34
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG